situation analysis

TIME:2022-04-13 13:01 SOURCE:







Mariupol
马力波亚速钢厂





situation analysis

The 49th day of the Russian-Ukrainian war, 2022-4-13 War situation analysis
The prologue of the Third World War has been opened, extending from ground war to space war. EU President von der Leyen, British Prime Minister Johnson arrive in Kiev, Ukraine accelerates its entry into the EU. Russia makes a strategic adjustment for the May 9 armistice. Concentrating its forces in a decisive battle in the Donbass region of eastern Ukraine. Since the beginning of the war Russian troops have never found the main forces of the Ukrainian army, leading to successive tactical defeats. Non-stop change of battlefield commanders.Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
On April 12, Russian troops found the Azov Battalion, a special operations unit of the Ukrainian Army, which is part of the National Guard of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine and has a strong combat capability, at the Malipo Steel Plant. The Azov steel plant was the largest steel plant in Europe built by Stalin during World War II, with various underground survival facilities and dozens of kilometers of underground tunnels with nuclear bomb protection. The Russian army wanted to block the exit of the tunnels and release poison gas to force them to leave the tunnels and surrender.
 
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version),The Azov steel plant could become a watershed in the Russian-Ukrainian war, where both sides are putting their heavy strength into a showdown, with more advanced weapons already in place from dozens of countries such as NATO and the United States to support Ukraine, a battle that could be the place where human civilization is torn apart and has the potential to end the peace process of human civilization.。
The countries that now hold the most advanced technology in the world are mainly Finland, Norway and Germany in Europe, Japan and Taiwan in Asia, and Israel in the Middle East. They each hold the most cutting-edge intelligence in information technology and precision manufacturing. Due to the geopolitical legacy they may become potential countries for extended war.
Russia has a territorial dispute with Japan over the four northern islands, and Japan has taken the opportunity to retake the four islands if Russia is defeated or severely weakened. China has the Diaoyu Islands (Senkaku Islands) with Japan and also has a dispute with the Philippines over the Huangyan Islands. The Taiwan issue could trigger a war at sea. NATO is fully assembled to force China and Russia to maximize the alliance, first of all, it will start a fight in space, China and Russia use space technology and the United States, NATO space technology to open a real combat confrontation. Space technology of electronics, wafers, semiconductors and other advanced technology and in the hands of Sweden, Finland, Japan, Israel, Taiwan. Then the possibility of these countries being attacked first is high, causing disruptions in the supply chain of space technology.
It will soon become clear that a country's satellites inexplicably disappear and retaliate against each other leading to the disintegration and disappearance of a large number of satellites followed by a local nuclear war. Of course the Azov steel plant could be the end point of the war, with a truce after mediation, Russian occupation of the Donbass region of the Azov Sea, UN forces entering the middle region for peacekeeping and entering the diplomatic legal phase.
The world enters from multipolarity into bipolarity and a new cold war opens. The new world order will not appear anytime soon.
Indo-Pacific, Asia Pacific Strategic Planning Department
The 49th day of the Russian-Ukrainian war, 2022-4-13 War situation analysis
The prologue of the Third World War has been opened, extending from ground war to space war. EU President von der Leyen, British Prime Minister Johnson arrive in Kiev, Ukraine accelerates its entry into the EU. Russia makes a strategic adjustment for the May 9 armistice. Concentrating its forces in a decisive battle in the Donbass region of eastern Ukraine. Since the beginning of the war Russian troops have never found the main forces of the Ukrainian army, leading to successive tactical defeats. Non-stop change of battlefield commanders.Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
On April 12, Russian troops found the Azov Battalion, a special operations unit of the Ukrainian Army, which is part of the National Guard of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine and has a strong combat capability, at the Malipo Steel Plant. The Azov steel plant was the largest steel plant in Europe built by Stalin during World War II, with various underground survival facilities and dozens of kilometers of underground tunnels with nuclear bomb protection. The Russian army wanted to block the exit of the tunnels and release poison gas to force them to leave the tunnels and surrender.
 
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version),The Azov steel plant could become a watershed in the Russian-Ukrainian war, where both sides are putting their heavy strength into a showdown, with more advanced weapons already in place from dozens of countries such as NATO and the United States to support Ukraine, a battle that could be the place where human civilization is torn apart and has the potential to end the peace process of human civilization.。
The countries that now hold the most advanced technology in the world are mainly Finland, Norway and Germany in Europe, Japan and Taiwan in Asia, and Israel in the Middle East. They each hold the most cutting-edge intelligence in information technology and precision manufacturing. Due to the geopolitical legacy they may become potential countries for extended war.
Russia has a territorial dispute with Japan over the four northern islands, and Japan has taken the opportunity to retake the four islands if Russia is defeated or severely weakened. China has the Diaoyu Islands (Senkaku Islands) with Japan and also has a dispute with the Philippines over the Huangyan Islands. The Taiwan issue could trigger a war at sea. NATO is fully assembled to force China and Russia to maximize the alliance, first of all, it will start a fight in space, China and Russia use space technology and the United States, NATO space technology to open a real combat confrontation. Space technology of electronics, wafers, semiconductors and other advanced technology and in the hands of Sweden, Finland, Japan, Israel, Taiwan. Then the possibility of these countries being attacked first is high, causing disruptions in the supply chain of space technology.
It will soon become clear that a country's satellites inexplicably disappear and retaliate against each other leading to the disintegration and disappearance of a large number of satellites followed by a local nuclear war. Of course the Azov steel plant could be the end point of the war, with a truce after mediation, Russian occupation of the Donbass region of the Azov Sea, UN forces entering the middle region for peacekeeping and entering the diplomatic legal phase.
The world enters from multipolarity into bipolarity and a new cold war opens. The new world order will not appear anytime soon.
Indo-Pacific, Asia Pacific Strategic Planning Department


第三次世界大战的序幕已经拉开,由地面战争延申到太空战。
欧盟主席冯德莱恩,英国首相约翰逊到达基辅,乌克兰加快了进入欧盟的步伐。俄为了五月九日停战,进行了战略调整。集中兵力决战乌克兰东部顿巴斯地区。自开战以来俄军始终不到乌军的主力部队,导致战术连连失利。不停的更换战场指挥官。
四月12日,俄军发现乌军特战部队“亚速营”在马力波钢铁厂,它隶属于乌克兰内政部国民警卫队,作战实力强。亚速钢铁厂是二战时期斯大林在此建设的欧洲最大钢铁厂,地下有各种生存设施,还有数十公里的地下通道,具有抵御核弹打击的防护能力。俄军想封锁通道出口释放毒气逼他们从通道出来投降。
 亚速钢厂可能成为俄乌战争分水岭,双方在此投入重型实力进行决战,北约、美国等数十个国家支援乌克兰的更加先进的武器已经到位,这一战可能是人类文明撕裂的地方,有可能结束人类文明和平进程。
 现在掌握全球最先进技术的国家主要是欧洲的芬兰、挪威、德国,亚洲是日本、台湾,中东是以色列。他们分别掌握着信息技术、精工制造等最前沿的智慧。由于地缘政治的遗留问题他们可能成为延申战争的潜在国家。
俄罗斯与日本有北方四岛的领土争议,如果俄罗斯战败或者严重削弱时,日本趁机夺回四个岛屿。中国与日本有钓鱼岛(尖阁列岛),还与菲律宾有黄岩岛礁争议。台湾问题也是导火索。
北约集结全面对抗,倒逼中俄联盟无上限,首先就会在太空开打,中俄利用太空技术与美国、北约的太空技术开启实战性对抗。太空技术的电子、晶圆、半导体等先进技术又掌握在瑞典、芬兰、日本、以色列、台湾手里。那么这些国家首先被攻击的可能性很大,造成太空技术供应链中断。
很快就会发现,一个国家的卫星莫名其妙的消失,互相报复导致大量卫星解体、消失继而引发局部核战争。当然亚速钢铁厂有可能成为战争终结点,经调停后停战,俄罗斯占领亚速海顿巴斯地区,联合国军进入中间地区维和,进入外交法律阶段。
世界进入由多极化进入两极化,新冷战开启。世界新秩序短时间内不会出现。
印太、亚太战略规划部


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